To Copy or Not to Copy: Controlling Speculative Decoding via Intrinsic Model Signals

Speculative Decoding (SD) has significantly accelerated Large Language Model (LLM) inference, yet existing approaches face a fundamental tradeoff between two drafting strategies: neural drafting and context-based copying. Neural drafts (e.g., EAGLE3) provide robust performance across diverse text settings, while copy-based methods achieve higher speedups in copy-intensive regimes by generating candidates faster and exploiting long repetition spans for near-perfect speculation. We analyze existing copy-based methods and find that they are prone to accidental repetitions where surface-level n-gram overlap does not reflect a structural intent to copy, leading to false-positive triggers that ultimately degrade throughput. We introduce SwitchSD, an adaptive framework that treats copying as a latent control signal of the LLM. By training lightweight probes on the target model's internal representations, SwitchSD identifies genuine copy-intent with high precision (AUC > 0.99). This allows the system to dynamically switch between neural drafting (e.g., EAGLE) and context-based copying. Our results across Llama and Qwen families demonstrate throughput gains of up to 15% over state-of-the-art baselines like EAGLE3, effectively turning copying from a noisy heuristic into a principled, model-aware decoding regime.